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Time series analysis on marriage registration in Ilorin, Kwara state

 Department: Mathematics and Statistics  
 By: usericon emeka1234  

 Project ID: 2174
   Rating:  (3.1) votes: 16
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   Price:₦1000
Abstract
The study examined time series analysis on marriage registration in Ilorin, Kwara State between (2000– 2011). The data used was collected from marriage registry, ministry of social welfare, Ilorin, Kwara State. Moving average, simple linear regression was used for the analysis. The result on trend value clearly shows that there is a steady decrease in the number of marriages from the second half of the year 2002 up to January 2003, and from there, there was a sharp increase in the number of marriages. Also, the trend of marriage contains seasonal variation, which has been smoothing by moving average method. Thus, the trend value appears to follow almost identical patterns during the corresponding month of successive years. This indicated that Christmas and New Year festivals have an influence on marriage as it can be seen on the trend values....
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