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Modeling the transmission and dynamics of measles

 Department: Mathematics and Statistics  
 By: usericon kruskalstat  

 Project ID: 2530
   Rating:  (3.2) votes: 11
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The attack of measles is endemic and dangerous to human existence. In this regard, this study deals with modeling the transmission and dynamics of measles using mathematical differential equation for modeling the rate of spread and possible control of the disease. The result of the study indicated that the transmission of measles is significantly rising with about 5000 new individuals yearly. In addition, it was discovered that as time goes on (say t  2025, I(t)  70,582) the number of people that will be infected by measles if preventive or curative measure are not taken in Warri metropolis will grow increasingly and will one day cover up the entire population. But however, the study developed a model for the control and the result appear to significantly reduce the growth at which measles spread in the population given the parameters included in the model. It was recommended, therefore, that since the model shows that the spread of a disease largely depend on the number of people infected, the National Measles Control Programme should emphasize on the improvement in early detection of measles cases so that the disease transmission can be minimized....
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