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Loan default prediction system using logistic regression

 Department: Computer Science  
 By: usericon olagok01  

 Project ID: 9271
   Rating:  (5.0) votes: 1
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   Price:₦5000
Abstract
The financial services industry faces significant risks from loan defaults, which can lead to substantial losses and economic instability. Traditional credit assessment methods, often reliant on manual underwriting and basic credit scores, are plagued by subjectivity, inconsistency, and an inability to accurately quantify individual default risk. This project addresses these critical challenges by designing and implementing a data-driven loan default prediction system using the logistic regression algorithm. The system leverages historical loan applicant data, including features such as income, credit history, loan amount, and debt-to-income ratio. Following a structured methodology, the data undergoes preprocessing and feature engineering before being used to train a logistic regression model. The model is evaluated using standard metrics like Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1-Score, and the Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC-ROC) to ensure robust performance in classifying applicants as"likely to default" or"not likely to default." A key outcome of this project is the development of a prototype web-based application that provides a user-friendly interface for loan officers. This interface allows for real-time input of applicant data and returns a probability score indicating the likelihood of default. The primary advantage of using logistic regression lies in its optimal blend of predictive power, computational efficiency, and, most importantly, model interpretability, which is crucial for regulatory compliance and providing actionable insights. This study concludes that the implemented system serves as a powerful decision-support tool, enhancing the accuracy, speed, and objectivity of the credit approval process. It enables financial institutions to move from reactive risk management to a proactive, predictive approach, leading to a more efficient allocation of capital, reduced losses from non-performing loans, and the potential for fairer, risk-based pricing. ...
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